And of course, 1982 came and went without any of the predicted catastrophes occurring. In February of 1982, these same two authors published The Jupiter Effect Reconsidered. They didn't even wait for March to come and go before they started writing their apologia. They claimed that, even though the alignment didn't cause any major earthquakes in 1982, it was responsible for triggering the giant eruption of Mt. St. Helens in 1980 (two years before the "alignment" had occurred). "Psychics" do this all the time, re-interpreting their failed predictions as successes. If a "psychic" predicts A, which doesn't occur, but B does, the prediction will be re-interpreted to have meant B.
Reflections on UFOs, skepticism, and practically anything else by Robert Sheaffer, author of the book "Bad UFOs," plus the "Psychic Vibrations" column in The Skeptical Inquirer).
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Doomsdays of Yesteryear: "The Jupiter Effect," 1982
And of course, 1982 came and went without any of the predicted catastrophes occurring. In February of 1982, these same two authors published The Jupiter Effect Reconsidered. They didn't even wait for March to come and go before they started writing their apologia. They claimed that, even though the alignment didn't cause any major earthquakes in 1982, it was responsible for triggering the giant eruption of Mt. St. Helens in 1980 (two years before the "alignment" had occurred). "Psychics" do this all the time, re-interpreting their failed predictions as successes. If a "psychic" predicts A, which doesn't occur, but B does, the prediction will be re-interpreted to have meant B.
8 comments:
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Did Asimov write a foreword to the 1982 "Reconsideration"? Did he ever retract what he wrote in the original book?
ReplyDeletePresumably Asimov was not paid any royalties, only a fixed sum for the foreword, so it is perhaps unfair to say he was thinking of big dollars at the time.
Zarkon did something similar. In 1974 he published a book predicting apocalypse in 2000.
ReplyDeletehttp://ufos.homestead.com/zarkon.jpg
In 1995 he revised the book under his real name (Kenneth Rayner Johnson) and argued that so many of his predictions had come true so far, that the end of the world was indeed about to happen.
http://www.amazon.com/Armageddon-2000-Kenneth-Rayner-Johnson/dp/1871592275
I got all this from reading the back covers in second-hand stores. That will be my full investment.
Very dissapointing from Gribbin, who can and has done better.
ReplyDeleteAren't we all forgetting something very important?? The Jupiter Effect, or alignment of the planets and their respective gravitational fields, on minor planets, asteroids, comets and the like??!! What about the collision of Jupiter itself back in 1994 via an broken up comet or asteroid, whichever??!! The effects of the planetary alignments are still being experienced today!! Need I mention the close calls Earth has had recently over Russia and the asteroid that came so near to Earth lately??!! Just some 17,000 miles over Earth!! Could the gravitational effects of the planets gravity field have caused a collision in deep space, and setting the 'spacial pool game' in motion??!! NASA needs to do much more sky watching, don't they??!!
ReplyDeleteIf we were to take just the gravitational effect of the Sun, we'd arrive very close to the total effect on a body within the Solar System.
DeleteLawrence, are you saying that before this so-called alignment, these events didn't happen? They happen all the time!
ReplyDeleteWell the solar flares did happen, and the SUN is acting as if it was dying, so the end may be around :)
ReplyDeleteThis is just another example of pseudoscience. This irrational way of thinking has no place in modern society. Unfortunately, it's 2018 and you still have this type of thinking going on. Old habits die hard I guess.
ReplyDelete